Daily AQI report

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For Sunday May 14, 2023

The category accuracy of the next-day forecast was 100% (17/17
sites) for PM2.5 and 100% (14/14 sites) for Ozone.

View this weeks complete modeling performance at
AQI-Watch.

PM2.5 results in ug/m3

Site	Monitored	MPCA
Fargo	10.4	8.4
Harding	8.9	8.4
Apple Valley	8.7	8.4
Marshall	7.1	8.4
St Cloud	7.3	8.4
Winona	7.1	8.4
Rochester	7	8.4
Duluth WD	6.8	8.4
Leech Lake	6.3	8.4
Detroit Lakes	5.7	8.4
Ely	5.2	8.4
Fond Du Lac	5.2	8.4
Virginia	5.2	8.4
Brainerd	5.1	8.4
Anoka	4.8	8.4
Red Lake	2.1	8.4
Grand Portage	0.7	8.4

Ozone results in ppb

Site	Monitored	MPCA
Brainerd	50	37.8
Detroit Lakes	50	37.8
Fargo	50	37.8
St Cloud	49	37.8
Duluth WD	45	37.8
Marshall	45	37.8
Mille Lacs	45	37.8
St Michael	45	37.8
Shakopee	42	37.8
MSP	40	37.8
Rochester	36	37.8
Winona	36	37.8
Ely	22	37.8
Fond Du Lac	18	37.8

Yesterday's model performance

PM2.5

Model	Error ug/m3	On target %	Bullseyes %	CAT accuracy %	Yellow accuracy %
MPCA Team				100

Ozone

Model	Error ppb	On target %	Bullseyes %	CAT accuracy %	Yellow accuracy %
MPCA Team				100

Note: Some of MPCA's forecasts only predicted AQI color so the
error was not be calculated.

Overall model performance for next-day forecasts

PM2.5

Model	Error ugm3	On target %	Bullseyes %	Cat accuracy %	Yellow accuracy %	Forecasts
MPCA Team	2.1	93	70	93	16	265

Ozone

Model	Error ppb	On target %	Bullseyes %	Cat accuracy %	Yellow accuracy %	Forecasts
MPCA Team	5.9	83	50	92	17	168

Attention: @DLBro @DDwx @Mtaraldsen @MPCAaqi @ncwitcraft-mpca @dKvale