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I was testing Quantile Skill Score in the reports and came across some results that initially confused me. Table below shows metrics for 4 pairs of forecasts
Forecast
BS
QS
BSS
QSS
Table Mountain Boulder CO Day Ahead GEFS ghi Prob(f <= x) = 0.0%
0.46
46.3
-0.113
0.653
Table Mountain Boulder CO Day Ahead GEFS ghi Prob(f <= x) = 40.0%
0.282
39.6
-0.161
0.688
Table Mountain Boulder CO Day Ahead GEFS ghi Prob(f <= x) = 50.0%
0.25
44.7
0.00e+00
0.643
Table Mountain Boulder CO Day Ahead GEFS ghi Prob(f <= x) = 100.0%
I was testing Quantile Skill Score in the reports and came across some results that initially confused me. Table below shows metrics for 4 pairs of forecasts
I came away from this wanting a few things in the brier score documentation
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