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simulations.py
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from Person import Person
import random
import math
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
def initialize(n, min_x, max_x, min_y, max_y, mask_simulation, bias):
people = []
for i in range(n):
random_location = (random.random() * max_x, random.random() * max_y)
mask = 0
if mask_simulation:
mask = random.choice([0, 1])
person = Person(random_location, 0, mask)
if i < bias * n:
person.infection_time = 0
person.state = 1
people.append(person)
return people
def distance(p1, p2):
return math.sqrt((p1.x_loc - p2.x_loc)**2 + (p1.y_loc - p2.y_loc)**2)
def infect(p1, p2):
return -0.0008 + 0.5 * np.exp(-0.27 * distance(p1, p2))
# return (-0.01 * (distance(p1, p2)) + .25)
def infect_mask(p1, p2):
return 0
def update_infection(p1, p2, i):
if random.random() < infect(p1, p2):
p2.state = 1
p2.infection_time = i if p2.infection_time == -1 else p2.infection_time
# print("new person infected %d", i)
return p2
def update_recovery(p1, i):
if p1.infection_time >= 0 and i - p1.infection_time == 336:
if random.random() < .05: # scale by num_infected
p1.state = -1
# print("new person dead %d", i)
else:
p1.state = 2
# print("new person recoverd %d", i)
return p1
if __name__=="__main__":
max_x = 324
max_y = 324
n = 100
bias = .06
timesteps = 600 # 130000 # hours 2160
people = initialize(n, 0, max_x, 0, max_y, 0, bias)
healthy_time = []
infected_time = []
recovered_time = []
dead_time = []
for time in range(timesteps):
infected_locs = np.array([[person.x_loc, person.y_loc] for person in people if person.state == 1])
immune_locs = np.array([[person.x_loc, person.y_loc] for person in people if person.state == 2])
healthy_locs = np.array([[person.x_loc, person.y_loc] for person in people if person.state == 0])
dead_locs = np.array([[person.x_loc, person.y_loc] for person in people if person.state == -1])
infected_indices = [i for i in range(len(people)) if people[i].state == 1]
healthy_indices = [i for i in range(len(people)) if people[i].state == 0]
num_healthy = len(healthy_locs)
num_infected = len(infected_locs)
num_recovered = len(immune_locs)
num_dead = len(dead_locs)
# plt.axis([0, max_x, 0, max_y])
if time % 1 == 0:
plt.clf()
if num_healthy:
plt.plot(healthy_locs[:,0], healthy_locs[:,1], 'go')
if num_recovered:
plt.plot(immune_locs[:,0], immune_locs[:,1], 'bo')
if num_infected:
plt.plot(infected_locs[:,0], infected_locs[:,1], 'ro')
if num_dead:
plt.plot(dead_locs[:,0], dead_locs[:,1], 'ko')
plt.axis([0, max_x, 0, max_y])
plt.pause(0.001)
if time == 0 or num_healthy != healthy_time[-1][1] or time == timesteps - 1:
healthy_time.append([time, num_healthy])
if time == 0 or num_infected != infected_time[-1][1] or time == timesteps - 1:
infected_time.append([time, num_infected])
if time == 0 or num_recovered != recovered_time[-1][1] or time == timesteps - 1:
recovered_time.append([time, num_recovered])
if time == 0 or num_dead != dead_time[-1][1] or time == timesteps - 1:
dead_time.append([time, num_dead])
print("%d healthy %d infected %d recovered %d dead %d" % (time, num_healthy,
num_infected, num_recovered, num_dead))
for infected in infected_indices:
for healthy in healthy_indices:
people[healthy] = update_infection(people[infected], people[healthy], time)
for i in range(len(people)):
people[i].update_velocity(0, max_x, 0, max_y)
people[i] = update_recovery(people[i], time)
people[i].move()
print(healthy_time)
healthy_time = np.array(healthy_time)
infected_time = np.array(infected_time)
recovered_time = np.array(recovered_time)
dead_time = np.array(dead_time)
plt.close()
plt.xlabel('Time (Hours)')
plt.ylabel('# of People')
plt.title('Spread of Coronavirus w/No Restrictions')
plt.plot(healthy_time[:, 0], healthy_time[:, 1], "g", label='# Healthy')
plt.plot(infected_time[:, 0], infected_time[:, 1], "r", label='# Infected')
plt.plot(recovered_time[:, 0], recovered_time[:, 1], "b", label="# Recovered")
plt.legend(loc='upper right')
# plt.plot(dead_time[:, 0], dead_time[:, 1], "k")
plt.show()