Tournament Front Matter (#23)

* initial commit for tournament front matter

* template for tournament front matter

* slight update on administration

* add FAQ

* adding whatever I had in this branch last time I checked

* update administration; remove dedication; remove acknowledgements

* reformat front matter to match decisions made

* adjust preface image size

* update multiple front matter sections; move contact to front matter

* update structure of GET

* update DNA to genetic; update front matter

* remaining comments in front matter with initial review

* FAQ

* final update to readme and about

* change date to today

README.md

@@ -1,37 +1,46 @@
 # The Genetic Evolution Tournament
 
-This repository contains most of the source materials (not including references) for the _Genetic Evolution Tournament_ (hereafter referred to as GET), a tournament broadly concerned with human genetic modification and reproduction protocols, for the purposes of both treatment and enhancement (predominantly enhancement). GET is being privately hosted on [Metaculus](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metaculus). Eventually, Metaculus community forecasts made on GET questions will be ported to this repository and analyzed.
+> _The Genetic Evolution Tournament (GET) is a Metaculus human judgment forecasting tournament established to generate forecasts and scenarios pertaining to the use of human genetic and reproductive technologies for treatment and enhancement._
 
-NOTE: Please, dear reader, if you have feedback, contact the author at `t E tang Atama` [at] `prot on` [dot] `me` (with spaces removed) or open an [issue](https://github.com/AFg6K7h4fhy2/Genetic-Evolution-Tournament/issues) in this repository. All feedback is welcome; however, feedback that enhances (1) the epistemics of claims made in this tournament's questions (and other files), (2) the visibility and or utility of this tournament, or (3) other exact properties of the tournament (such as an additional question or an alteration in the structure) is _particularly_ desired.
+__Hosting__
+
+* GET is being hosted publicly on [Metaculus](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metaculus).
+
+__Contact__:
+
+* Primary Administrator: (AFg6K7h4fhy2) + (@) + (proton) + (.) + (me)
+* Secondary Administrator: (keystroke) + (@) + (duck) + (.) + (com)
+
+__On Feedback__: All feedback is welcome; however, feedback that enhances
+
+* (1) the accuracy of claims made in this tournament's questions (and other files)
+* (2) the visibility and or utility of this tournament
+* (3) other exact properties of the tournament (such as an additional question or an alteration in the structure)
+
+is _particularly_ desired.
 
 ## Summary Introduction
 
-* Private tournament on Metaculus
-* Focuses on human gene modification and reproduction for enhancing human capabilities
-* 150 questions across 5 categories
+* A Metaculus tournament.
+* Focuses on human enhancement and treatment via genetic and reproduction technologies.
+* Around 150 questions across 5 categories
   * Ethical, Legal, and Societal Implications
   * Technological Advancements and Clinical Applications
   * Regulatory and Policy Developments
   * Accessibility and Demographic Shifts
   * Healthcare and Insurance System Evolution
-* 15K USD in prizes
-  * 5k USD for forecasting accuracy
-  * 10K USD for comments, in stages
-* Tentative end date of 2035
-
-To view tournament files, please head to `./GET/source/`
-
-## Example Questions
+* At present, 15K USD in prizes
+* Tentative end date of 2045
 
 ## Extended Introduction
 
-NOTE: This description, which contains various inadequacies, is a minimally viable placeholder. Beyond the content detailing GET, there are many unsubstantiated claims. At some point, this tournament might be developed into a pre-print, in which case the author will more strongly evidence claims regarding the landscape of current capabilities for human enhancement and treatment via genetic and reproductive means. GET questions often contain references to research literature, but these are far from comprehensive. The Extended Introduction section is liable to change.
+__Disclaimer__: _This description, which possibly contains inadequacies, is a minimally viable placeholder. Beyond the content detailing GET, there are many unsubstantiated claims. At some point, this tournament might be published as research, in which case the author will more strongly evidence claims regarding the landscape of current capabilities for human enhancement and treatment via genetic and reproductive means. GET questions often contain references to research literature, but these are far from comprehensive. The Extended Introduction section is liable to change._
 
-This introduction starts with some motivating remarks on possible future(s) for human reproduction and human genetic constitution. Following this, the author briefly describes GET, which is currently under development and due to be released on Metaculus (as a private [tournament](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_market)) sometime between now and August 2024.
+__Overview__: _This introduction starts with some motivating remarks on possible future(s) for human reproduction and human genetic constitution. Following this, the author briefly describes GET, which is currently under development and due to be released on Metaculus (as a public [tournament](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_market))._
 
 [Scientific progress](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Progress#Scientific_progress) in [genetics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genetics), [genetic engineering](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genetic_engineering), and [assisted-reproduction](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assisted_reproductive_technology) continues at a rapid and accelerating pace, with current technological capabilities far exceeding those imagined by researchers and policy-makers in [biotechnology](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biotechnology) at the start of the 21st century.
 
-Frontier events in genetic engineering, such as the [He Jiankui affair](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/He_Jiankui_affair), have required all of humanity to consider scenarios and possibilities—ranging the gamut of expected value from fantastical to catastrophic—concerning the manipulation of human biology.
+Frontier events in genetic engineering, such as the [Jiankui He affair](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/He_Jiankui_affair), have required all of humanity to consider scenarios and possibilities—ranging the gamut of expected value from fantastical to catastrophic—concerning the manipulation of human biology.
 
 Although extreme-fidelity human gene modification (as in precisely exacting desired genetic outcomes) or, more broadly, [modification of human biology](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genetic_engineering_techniques) at a caliber similar to what we might expect to be employed in _[Brave New World](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brave_New_World)_ or _[Gattaca](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gattaca)_, is yet unrealized, developments in the aforementioned fields steer evermore towards this capacity.
 
@@ -59,80 +68,16 @@ GET currently consists of 5 question categories:
 
 Each category was intended to have between 15 and 25 questions; the intention was to between 75 to 125 questions in total.
 
-To incentivize forecaster participation, there are prizes totaling 15K USD. Prizes are partitioned into a forecasting accuracy component (5k USD), with questions scored via Metaculus's default scoring procedures ([peer scores](https://www.metaculus.com/help/scores-faq/)), and a commenting component (10k USD).
-
-Originally, within the commenting component, 2.5k USD was allocated to comments on questions that are part of the forecasting accuracy component (shorter-term questions) and 7.5k USD was allocated to comments on longer-term questions. However, after some deliberation, a decision was made to break the commenting section of the tournament into 5 stages, each with 2k USD. The tournament is expect to last roughly 10 years. There is the possibility for additional funding altering the structure of the tournament.
-
-<!-- Beyond aggregating forecasts and scenarios via GET's questions, a reach-goal of GET is the elicitation of some engagement (commentary and or participation) from figures in academia with expertise in the science and or regulation of the technologies and procedures that are part of the fields of human genetics, genetic engineering (DNA technology generally), and assisted-reproduction. Barring this outcome, the author is still moderately confident that GET can be impactful, conditional on the completion of a retrospective analysis of the forecasts and forecast-rationales (scenarios) engendered. -->
-
-## Repository Structure
-
-Using `tree -I "_minted-input|*.csl"`:
-
-```
-.
-├── CONTRIBUTING.md
-├── GET
-│   ├── announcements
-│   ├── outreach
-│   │   ├── email.md
-│   │   └── where.md
-│   ├── questions
-│   │   ├── 01_questions
-│   │   ├── 02_questions
-│   │   ├── 03_questions
-│   │   ├── 04_questions
-│   │   ├── 05_questions
-│   │   ├── README.md
-│   │   ├── decisions.md
-│   │   └── existing.md
-│   ├── resources
-│   │   ├── articles.md
-│   │   ├── books.md
-│   │   ├── post_lw.md
-│   │   ├── posts_eaf.md
-│   │   └── wiki.md
-│   ├── template
-│   │   ├── 01_overview.md
-│   │   ├── 02_prize_structure.md
-│   │   ├── 03_scoring.md
-│   │   ├── 04_expected_resolution.md
-│   │   ├── 05_end_date_leaderboard.md
-│   │   ├── 06_problem_resolution.md
-│   │   ├── 07_extinction.md
-│   │   ├── 08_feedback.md
-│   │   └── README.md
-│   └── visuals
-│       └── gs_hits.md
-├── LICENSE
-├── README.md
-├── _typos.toml
-├── docs
-├── labels.toml
-├── manuscript
-│   ├── Makefile
-│   ├── output
-│   │   ├── out.pdf
-│   │   └── template.latex
-│   └── source
-│       ├── 01_background.md
-│       ├── code
-│       │   └── test.py
-│       ├── metadata.yml
-│       └── references.bib
-├── poetry.lock
-└── pyproject.toml
-
-18 directories, 34 files
-```
-
-Within the GET folder of this repository, there is, briefly, the following:
+To incentivize forecaster participation, there are prizes totaling 15K USD, though this may increase in the future. Prizes are partitioned into a forecasting accuracy component, with questions scored via Metaculus's default scoring procedures ([peer scores](https://www.metaculus.com/help/scores-faq/)), and a commenting component.
+
+Originally, within the commenting component, 2.5k USD was allocated to comments on questions that are part of the forecasting accuracy component (shorter-term questions) and 7.5k USD was allocated to comments on longer-term questions. However, after some deliberation, a decision was made to break the commenting section of the tournament into 3 stages, each with 2k USD. The tournament is expect to last roughly 20 years. There is the possibility for additional funding altering the structure of the tournament.
+
+<!-- Beyond aggregating forecasts and scenarios via GET's questions, a reach-goal of GET is the elicitation of some engagement (commentary and or participation) from figures in academia with expertise in the science and or regulation of the technologies and procedures that are part of the fields of human genetics, genetic engineering (genetic technology generally), and assisted-reproduction. Barring this outcome, the author is still moderately confident that GET can be impactful, conditional on the completion of a retrospective analysis of the forecasts and forecast-rationales (scenarios) engendered. -->
+
+<!-- Within the GET folder of this repository, there is, briefly, the following:
 
 * GET questions are in `questions`. Existing questions on Metaculus relevant to GET, along with decisions that were made regarding questions, are contained in this folder as well.
 * Links to articles, books, Wikipedia pages, LessWrong posts, and EA Forum posts relevant to GET are in `resources`.
 * The front matter of GET, including the overview, prize structure, scoring, expected resolutions, leaderboard utility, end date, problem resolution, extinction case, and feedback sections, is in `template`.
-* The `outreach` folder contains email templates for contacting researchers and other notable figures who might have helpful feedback for this tournament.
 * The `announcements` folder contains Pandoc Markdown content for announcement posts for GET that were made on LessWrong, the EA Forum, Substack, Reddit, Metaculus, and Discord.
-* The `visuals` folder contains images and data visualizations that came about through the creation of questions for GET.
-
-<!-- ## Comments On The License -->
+* The `visuals` folder contains images and data visualizations that came about through the creation of questions for GET. -->

website/_quarto.yml

@@ -4,24 +4,24 @@ project:
 
 book:
   title: "Genetic Evolution Tournament"
-  author: "AFg6K7h4fhy2"
-  description: "_The Genetic Evolution Tournament (hereafter referred to as GET), is a tournament concerned broadly with the use of genetic modification and reproduction protocols on humans, for the purposes of both treatment and enhancement, but predominantly enhancement._"
   page-footer: Copyright, [AFg6K7h4fhy2](https://github.com/AFg6K7h4fhy2)
-  date: "2024-10-16"
+  date: today
   favicon: favicon.jpg
   navbar:
     right:
-      - text: "Contact"
-        href: contact.qmd
       - icon: github
         href: "https://github.com/AFg6K7h4fhy2/Genetic-Evolution-Tournament"
   chapters:
     - index.qmd
-    - dedication.qmd
-    - acknowledgements.qmd
-    - overview.qmd
-    - front_matter/structure.qmd
+    - front_matter/about.qmd
+    - front_matter/goals.qmd
     - front_matter/hosting.qmd
+    - front_matter/administration.qmd
+    - front_matter/contact.qmd
+    - front_matter/structure.qmd
+    - front_matter/scoring.qmd
+    - front_matter/external_considerations.qmd
+    - front_matter/feedback.qmd
     - part: "Q: Ethical, Legal, & Societal Implications"
       chapters:
         - question_group_01/introduction.qmd
@@ -42,6 +42,7 @@ book:
         - resources/wiki.qmd
     - part: Appendix
       chapters:
+        - appendix/FAQ.qmd
         - appendix/glossary.qmd
         - appendix/trends.qmd
         - appendix/additional_remarks.qmd
@@ -59,7 +60,7 @@ format:
     toc: true
     toc-depth: 3
     number-sections: true
-    site-url: "https://AFg6K7h4fhy2.github.io/Genetic-Evolution-Tournament/"
+    site-url: "https://genetictournament.com/"
   pdf:
     documentclass: scrreprt
     pdf-engine: xelatex

website/appendix/FAQ.qmd

@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
+# Frequently Asked Questions
+
+## Why Is This On GitHub?
+
+* ...will have Python code for analyzing Google Scholar and Trends signals on genetic and reproductive technologies.
+* ...involves versions, specifically for prize sequences and groups of questions that are released.
+* ...involves a website hosted via GitHub Pages.
+* ...operates by open source principles (open development).