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Fallback for component splitting
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clara-de-smet committed Sep 26, 2024
1 parent 114f4ef commit ba8dc4c
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Showing 2 changed files with 86 additions and 8 deletions.
19 changes: 13 additions & 6 deletions openstef/pipeline/create_component_forecast.py
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -108,7 +108,7 @@ def create_components_forecast_pipeline(

# Make component forecasts
try:
input_data = create_input(pj, input_data, weather_data)
dazls_input_data = create_input(pj, input_data, weather_data)

# Save and load the model as .sav file (or as .z file)
# For the code contact: [email protected]
Expand All @@ -119,13 +119,13 @@ def create_components_forecast_pipeline(

# Use the predict function of Dazls model
# As input data we use the input_data function which takes into consideration what we want as an input for the forecast and what Dazls can accept as an input
forecasts = dazls_model.predict(x=input_data)
forecasts = dazls_model.predict(x=dazls_input_data)

# Set the columns for the output forecast dataframe
forecasts = pd.DataFrame(
forecasts,
columns=["forecast_wind_on_shore", "forecast_solar"],
index=input_data.index,
index=dazls_input_data.index,
)

# Make post-processed forecasts for solar and wind power
Expand All @@ -140,18 +140,25 @@ def create_components_forecast_pipeline(

# Make forecast for the component: "forecast_other"
forecasts["forecast_other"] = (
input_data["total_load"]
dazls_input_data["total_load"]
- forecasts["forecast_solar"]
- forecasts["forecast_wind_on_shore"]
)

# Make sure the forecasts have the same form as the input data. Pad with 0 if necessary
forecasts = forecasts.reindex(index=input_data.index, fill_value=0)
except Exception as e:
# In case something goes wrong we fall back on aan empty dataframe
# In case something goes wrong we fall back on an a zero-filled dataframe
logger.warning(
f"Could not make component forecasts: {e}, falling back on series of"
" zeros!",
exc_info=e,
)
forecasts = pd.DataFrame()
forecasts = pd.DataFrame(
data=0,
index=input_data.index,
columns=["forecast_wind_on_shore", "forecast_solar", "forecast_other"],
)

# Prepare for output
# Add more prediction properties to the forecast ("pid","customer","description","type","algtype)
Expand Down
75 changes: 73 additions & 2 deletions test/unit/pipeline/test_create_component_forecast.py
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -80,6 +80,61 @@ def test_component_forecast_pipeline_happy_flow(self):
],
)

def test_component_forecast_pipeline_weather_data_ends_early(self):
# Arrange
data = TestData.load("reference_sets/307-test-data.csv")
weather = data[["radiation", "windspeed_100m"]]
forecast_input = TestData.load("forecastdf_test_add_corrections.csv")
forecast_input["stdev"] = 0

# Shift example data to match current time interval as code expects data
# available relative to the current time.
utc_now = (
pd.Series(datetime.utcnow().replace(tzinfo=timezone.utc))
.min()
.round("15T")
.to_pydatetime()
)
most_recent_date = forecast_input.index.max().ceil("15T").to_pydatetime()
delta = utc_now - most_recent_date + timedelta(3)

forecast_input.index = forecast_input.index.shift(delta, freq=1)
most_recent_date = weather.index.max().ceil("15T").to_pydatetime()
delta = utc_now - most_recent_date + timedelta(3)
weather.index = weather.index.shift(delta, freq=1)

# Drop the last couple of rows of weather data to simulate missing data
weather.drop(weather.tail(30).index, inplace=True)

# Act
component_forecast = create_components_forecast_pipeline(
self.PJ, forecast_input, weather
)

# Assert
self.assertEqual(len(component_forecast), 193)
self.assertTrue(
component_forecast.tail(30)[
["forecast_wind_on_shore", "forecast_solar", "forecast_other"]
]
.eq(0)
.all()
.all()
)
self.assertEqual(
component_forecast.columns.to_list(),
[
"forecast_wind_on_shore",
"forecast_solar",
"forecast_other",
"pid",
"customer",
"description",
"type",
"algtype",
],
)

def test_component_forecast_pipeline_not_all_weather_data_available(self):
# Test happy flow
data = TestData.load("reference_sets/307-test-data.csv")
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -108,6 +163,22 @@ def test_component_forecast_pipeline_not_all_weather_data_available(self):
# Check if the output matches expectations
self.assertEqual(
component_forecast.columns.to_list(),
["pid", "customer", "description", "type", "algtype"],
[
"forecast_wind_on_shore",
"forecast_solar",
"forecast_other",
"pid",
"customer",
"description",
"type",
"algtype",
],
)
self.assertTrue(
component_forecast[
["forecast_wind_on_shore", "forecast_solar", "forecast_other"]
]
.eq(0)
.all()
.all()
)
self.assertEqual(len(component_forecast), 0)

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