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Merge pull request #2831 from bodiyang/CBO_June_24
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CBO June 2024 update
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@jdebacker
jdebacker authored Dec 12, 2024
2 parents 66754a7 + d30b758 commit 1cad505
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Showing 19 changed files with 209 additions and 249 deletions.
Binary file modified taxcalc/cps_weights.csv.gz
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90 changes: 25 additions & 65 deletions taxcalc/growfactors.csv
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28 changes: 14 additions & 14 deletions taxcalc/puf_ratios.csv
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Expand Up @@ -9,17 +9,17 @@ INT2017,0.9932,0.9174,0.8978,0.8924,0.8944,0.9131,0.9198,0.9410,0.9611,0.9787,1.
INT2018,0.9991,0.9744,0.9683,0.9667,0.9757,0.9725,0.9747,0.9779,0.9742,0.9969,0.9930,1.0038,1.0148,1.0067,1.0231,0.9898,1.0182,1.0911,0.9981
INT2019,0.9979,0.9771,0.9763,0.9903,0.9793,0.9805,0.9769,0.9852,0.9826,0.9938,0.9934,1.0109,1.0020,1.0074,0.9983,1.0006,1.0253,1.0282,1.0196
INT2020,1.0017,0.9799,0.9740,0.9756,0.9843,0.9849,0.9831,0.9833,0.9931,0.9964,0.9958,1.0114,1.0058,1.0047,1.0078,0.9991,1.0129,1.0113,1.0113
INT2021,0.9959,0.9797,0.9776,0.9780,0.9834,0.9898,0.9883,0.9869,0.9920,0.9978,1.0043,0.9974,1.0066,1.0119,1.0049,1.0040,1.0303,1.0085,1.0022
INT2022,1.0062,0.9815,0.9810,0.9783,0.9727,0.9820,0.9851,0.9893,0.9934,1.0049,1.0022,1.0050,1.0029,1.0042,1.0047,1.0044,1.0133,0.9988,1.0111
INT2023,0.9987,0.9812,0.9762,0.9787,0.9892,0.9893,0.9852,1.0191,0.9939,0.9956,1.0023,1.0012,1.0024,1.0074,1.0006,1.0093,1.0215,1.0022,0.9943
INT2024,1.0009,0.9842,0.9813,0.9793,0.9709,0.9789,0.9892,1.0104,0.9909,0.9984,0.9987,0.9971,1.0049,1.0077,1.0093,1.0079,1.0238,1.0149,1.0081
INT2025,1.0089,0.9935,0.9773,0.9768,0.9835,0.9817,1.0012,0.9946,0.9933,1.0008,0.9989,0.9979,1.0050,1.0073,1.0138,1.0146,1.0238,0.9939,0.9912
INT2026,1.0088,0.9842,0.9792,0.9795,0.9871,0.9904,1.0008,0.9908,0.9953,0.9938,0.9932,0.9931,1.0068,1.0143,1.0372,1.0249,1.0207,0.9992,0.9936
INT2027,1.0116,0.9889,0.9840,0.9806,0.9889,0.9908,0.9806,0.9952,0.9906,0.9945,0.9993,0.9913,1.0074,1.0185,1.0175,1.0278,1.0260,0.9932,0.9947
INT2028,1.0062,0.9977,0.9772,0.9829,0.9863,0.9876,1.0107,0.9957,0.9924,0.9955,0.9930,0.9921,1.0068,1.0177,1.0271,1.0218,1.0222,0.9964,0.9918
INT2029,1.0107,0.9938,0.9779,0.9803,0.9824,0.9851,1.0024,0.9850,0.9944,0.9933,0.9936,0.9928,1.0032,1.0281,1.0277,1.0472,1.0235,1.0010,0.9924
INT2030,1.0288,1.0010,0.9821,0.9838,0.9820,0.9917,0.9823,0.9877,0.9829,0.9890,0.9815,0.9920,1.0054,1.0363,1.0382,1.0450,1.0301,0.9950,0.9921
INT2031,1.0279,1.0213,0.9858,0.9918,0.9829,0.9887,0.9858,0.9770,0.9911,0.9938,0.9791,0.9871,0.9955,1.0446,1.0440,1.0735,1.0287,1.0061,0.9932
INT2032,1.0080,1.1016,0.9920,0.9811,0.9868,0.9849,0.9882,0.9740,0.9733,0.9790,0.9655,0.9835,0.9897,1.0788,1.0905,1.1376,1.0484,1.0100,0.9984
INT2033,0.9352,0.8342,0.9707,0.9751,0.9895,0.9850,0.9878,1.0382,1.0312,1.0352,1.1164,1.0745,1.0376,0.8503,0.8245,0.7421,0.8973,1.0566,1.0930
INT2034,1.0278,0.9998,0.9801,0.9801,0.9905,0.9878,0.9984,0.9804,0.9885,0.9931,0.9775,0.9843,1.0026,1.0381,1.0368,1.0580,1.0407,1.0028,0.9939
INT2021,0.9958,0.9798,0.9776,0.9781,0.9830,0.9898,0.9883,0.9869,0.9921,0.9977,1.0044,0.9974,1.0067,1.0116,1.0050,1.0041,1.0304,1.0086,1.0022
INT2022,1.0061,0.9815,0.9810,0.9783,0.9729,0.9820,0.9850,0.9893,0.9934,1.0050,1.0022,1.0048,1.0029,1.0046,1.0046,1.0044,1.0133,0.9990,1.0111
INT2023,0.9987,0.9812,0.9761,0.9786,0.9894,0.9893,0.9851,1.0196,0.9938,0.9953,1.0022,1.0014,1.0023,1.0073,1.0005,1.0093,1.0215,1.0020,0.9943
INT2024,1.0009,0.9842,0.9813,0.9793,0.9710,0.9789,0.9892,1.0097,0.9910,0.9985,0.9987,0.9971,1.0049,1.0077,1.0093,1.0075,1.0237,1.0149,1.0081
INT2025,1.0089,0.9935,0.9772,0.9767,0.9834,0.9816,1.0012,0.9946,0.9933,1.0008,0.9992,0.9978,1.0049,1.0073,1.0138,1.0150,1.0239,0.9939,0.9912
INT2026,1.0088,0.9843,0.9791,0.9796,0.9873,0.9904,0.9998,0.9908,0.9952,0.9939,0.9930,0.9932,1.0068,1.0143,1.0373,1.0250,1.0213,0.9991,0.9936
INT2027,1.0116,0.9889,0.9841,0.9806,0.9888,0.9908,0.9816,0.9954,0.9907,0.9945,0.9989,0.9914,1.0075,1.0185,1.0175,1.0279,1.0253,0.9932,0.9947
INT2028,1.0062,0.9977,0.9772,0.9828,0.9863,0.9876,1.0107,0.9956,0.9923,0.9954,0.9933,0.9921,1.0068,1.0177,1.0271,1.0218,1.0222,0.9964,0.9918
INT2029,1.0105,0.9938,0.9779,0.9801,0.9823,0.9852,1.0024,0.9850,0.9944,0.9933,0.9936,0.9926,1.0033,1.0285,1.0278,1.0479,1.0236,1.0009,0.9924
INT2030,1.0291,1.0010,0.9820,0.9840,0.9820,0.9917,0.9822,0.9877,0.9817,0.9890,0.9814,0.9925,1.0054,1.0359,1.0385,1.0443,1.0299,0.9951,0.9921
INT2031,1.0279,1.0213,0.9859,0.9918,0.9830,0.9887,0.9858,0.9770,0.9923,0.9938,0.9792,0.9867,0.9954,1.0446,1.0437,1.0737,1.0287,1.0061,0.9932
INT2032,1.0081,1.0988,0.9919,0.9813,0.9868,0.9849,0.9882,0.9740,0.9733,0.9791,0.9660,0.9835,0.9901,1.0784,1.0901,1.1369,1.0479,1.0099,0.9984
INT2033,0.9352,0.8363,0.9708,0.9737,0.9897,0.9850,0.9878,1.0383,1.0312,1.0351,1.1158,1.0750,1.0373,0.8506,0.8249,0.7410,0.8976,1.0566,1.0930
INT2034,1.0278,0.9998,0.9801,0.9814,0.9903,0.9878,0.9984,0.9804,0.9885,0.9931,0.9775,0.9837,1.0026,1.0381,1.0368,1.0602,1.0409,1.0028,0.9939
Binary file modified taxcalc/puf_weights.csv.gz
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18 changes: 9 additions & 9 deletions taxcalc/reforms/2017_law.out.csv
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RECID,c00100,standard,c04800,iitax,payrolltax
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12,60000.00,6723.42,48988.43,5935.27,9180.00
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32,60000.00,9899.84,41523.86,2721.83,9180.00
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23,240000.00,13625.73,208993.43,44446.65,36720.00
31,30000.00,10031.54,11278.04,-3670.39,4590.00
32,60000.00,10031.54,41278.04,2675.55,9180.00
33,120000.00,10031.54,101278.04,17728.06,18360.00
18 changes: 9 additions & 9 deletions taxcalc/reforms/BrownKhanna.out.csv
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@@ -1,10 +1,10 @@
RECID,c00100,standard,c04800,iitax,payrolltax
11,30000.00,6723.42,18988.43,-930.89,4590.00
12,60000.00,6723.42,48988.43,5935.27,9180.00
13,460000.00,6723.42,453276.58,135058.27,30414.80
21,60000.00,13446.83,29400.57,-6296.60,9180.00
22,120000.00,13446.83,89400.57,8226.47,18360.00
23,240000.00,13446.83,209400.57,44745.39,36720.00
31,30000.00,9899.84,11523.86,-6868.57,4590.00
32,60000.00,9899.84,41523.86,2294.87,9180.00
33,120000.00,9899.84,101523.86,17870.48,18360.00
11,30000.00,6812.86,18841.93,-1042.99,4590.00
12,60000.00,6812.86,48841.93,5838.62,9180.00
13,460000.00,6812.86,453187.14,134400.50,30414.80
21,60000.00,13625.73,28993.43,-6593.73,9180.00
22,120000.00,13625.73,88993.43,8004.64,18360.00
23,240000.00,13625.73,208993.43,44446.65,36720.00
31,30000.00,10031.54,11278.04,-7026.40,4590.00
32,60000.00,10031.54,41278.04,2115.35,9180.00
33,120000.00,10031.54,101278.04,17728.06,18360.00
18 changes: 9 additions & 9 deletions taxcalc/reforms/Renacci.out.csv
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RECID,c00100,standard,c04800,iitax,payrolltax
11,30000.00,15882.08,8823.89,-917.61,4590.00
12,60000.00,15882.08,38823.89,2082.39,9180.00
13,460000.00,15882.08,444117.92,105428.44,30414.80
21,60000.00,31764.18,7059.70,-5920.62,9180.00
22,120000.00,31764.18,67059.70,1605.97,18360.00
23,240000.00,31764.18,187059.70,30882.84,36720.00
31,30000.00,15882.08,3529.86,-5796.01,4590.00
32,60000.00,15882.08,33529.86,552.99,9180.00
33,120000.00,15882.08,93529.86,14016.42,18360.00
11,30000.00,16093.38,8542.16,-945.78,4590.00
12,60000.00,16093.38,38542.16,2054.22,9180.00
13,460000.00,16093.38,443906.62,105269.97,30414.80
21,60000.00,32186.76,6355.40,-6172.82,9180.00
22,120000.00,32186.76,66355.40,1535.54,18360.00
23,240000.00,32186.76,186355.40,30495.47,36720.00
31,30000.00,16093.38,3177.70,-5939.56,4590.00
32,60000.00,16093.38,33177.70,517.77,9180.00
33,120000.00,16093.38,93177.70,13822.74,18360.00
18 changes: 9 additions & 9 deletions taxcalc/reforms/TCJA.out.csv
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RECID,c00100,standard,c04800,iitax,payrolltax
11,30000.00,12404.02,17595.98,114.60,4590.00
12,60000.00,12404.02,47595.98,4473.91,9180.00
13,460000.00,12404.02,447595.98,133869.61,30414.80
21,60000.00,24808.03,35191.97,-3770.79,9180.00
22,120000.00,24808.03,95191.97,4947.82,18360.00
23,240000.00,24808.03,215191.97,35840.55,36720.00
31,30000.00,18606.02,11393.98,-4526.38,4590.00
32,60000.00,18606.02,41393.98,886.12,9180.00
33,120000.00,18606.02,101393.98,13568.45,18360.00
11,30000.00,12514.06,17485.94,99.65,4590.00
12,60000.00,12514.06,47485.94,4412.46,9180.00
13,460000.00,12514.06,447485.94,133608.15,30414.80
21,60000.00,25028.13,34971.87,-3800.70,9180.00
22,120000.00,25028.13,94971.87,4824.92,18360.00
23,240000.00,25028.13,214971.87,35682.99,36720.00
31,30000.00,18771.09,11228.91,-4601.98,4590.00
32,60000.00,18771.09,41228.91,863.82,9180.00
33,120000.00,18771.09,101228.91,13463.70,18360.00
18 changes: 9 additions & 9 deletions taxcalc/reforms/Trump2016.out.csv
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RECID,c00100,standard,c04800,iitax,payrolltax
11,30000.00,15882.08,14117.92,-105.85,4590.00
12,60000.00,15882.08,44117.92,4067.80,9180.00
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22,120000.00,31764.18,88235.82,6635.60,18360.00
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32,60000.00,15882.08,44117.92,3067.80,9180.00
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12,60000.00,16093.38,43906.62,3946.31,9180.00
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21,60000.00,32186.76,27813.24,-2262.41,9180.00
22,120000.00,32186.76,87813.24,6392.61,18360.00
23,240000.00,32186.76,207813.24,41492.61,36720.00
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32,60000.00,16093.38,43906.62,2946.31,9180.00
33,120000.00,16093.38,103906.62,19321.31,18360.00
18 changes: 9 additions & 9 deletions taxcalc/reforms/Trump2017.out.csv
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@@ -1,10 +1,10 @@
RECID,c00100,standard,c04800,iitax,payrolltax
11,30000.00,13446.83,12265.02,-573.50,4590.00
12,60000.00,13446.83,42265.02,2739.00,9180.00
13,460000.00,13446.83,446553.17,108485.92,30414.80
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22,120000.00,26893.67,75953.73,2495.37,18360.00
23,240000.00,26893.67,195953.73,36933.93,36720.00
31,30000.00,19799.67,1624.03,-4546.61,4590.00
32,60000.00,19799.67,31624.03,362.40,9180.00
33,120000.00,19799.67,91624.03,13412.91,18360.00
11,30000.00,13625.73,12029.06,-597.09,4590.00
12,60000.00,13625.73,42029.06,2599.83,9180.00
13,460000.00,13625.73,446374.27,107826.13,30414.80
21,60000.00,27251.46,15367.70,-4063.23,9180.00
22,120000.00,27251.46,75367.70,2436.77,18360.00
23,240000.00,27251.46,195367.70,36627.05,36720.00
31,30000.00,20063.08,1246.50,-4673.54,4590.00
32,60000.00,20063.08,31246.50,324.65,9180.00
33,120000.00,20063.08,91246.50,13211.19,18360.00
18 changes: 9 additions & 9 deletions taxcalc/reforms/ptaxes0.out.csv
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@@ -1,10 +1,10 @@
RECID,c00100,standard,c04800,iitax,payrolltax
11,30000.00,6723.42,18988.43,554.60,5100.00
12,60000.00,6723.42,48988.43,5935.27,10200.00
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21,60000.00,13446.83,29400.57,-2177.25,10200.00
22,120000.00,13446.83,89400.57,8226.47,20400.00
23,240000.00,13446.83,209400.57,44745.39,40800.00
31,30000.00,9899.84,11523.86,-3556.63,5100.00
32,60000.00,9899.84,41523.86,2721.83,10200.00
33,120000.00,9899.84,101523.86,17870.48,20400.00
11,30000.00,6812.86,18841.93,526.05,5100.00
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13,460000.00,6812.86,453187.14,134400.50,33078.00
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22,120000.00,13625.73,88993.43,8004.64,20400.00
23,240000.00,13625.73,208993.43,44446.65,40800.00
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32,60000.00,10031.54,41278.04,2675.55,10200.00
33,120000.00,10031.54,101278.04,17728.06,20400.00
18 changes: 9 additions & 9 deletions taxcalc/reforms/ptaxes1.out.csv
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@@ -1,10 +1,10 @@
RECID,c00100,standard,c04800,iitax,payrolltax
11,30000.00,6723.42,18988.43,554.60,4590.00
12,60000.00,6723.42,48988.43,5935.27,9180.00
13,460000.00,6723.42,453276.58,135058.27,44340.00
21,60000.00,13446.83,29400.57,-2177.25,9180.00
22,120000.00,13446.83,89400.57,8226.47,18360.00
23,240000.00,13446.83,209400.57,44745.39,36720.00
31,30000.00,9899.84,11523.86,-3556.63,4590.00
32,60000.00,9899.84,41523.86,2721.83,9180.00
33,120000.00,9899.84,101523.86,17870.48,18360.00
11,30000.00,6812.86,18841.93,526.05,4590.00
12,60000.00,6812.86,48841.93,5838.62,9180.00
13,460000.00,6812.86,453187.14,134400.50,44340.00
21,60000.00,13625.73,28993.43,-2251.46,9180.00
22,120000.00,13625.73,88993.43,8004.64,18360.00
23,240000.00,13625.73,208993.43,44446.65,36720.00
31,30000.00,10031.54,11278.04,-3670.39,4590.00
32,60000.00,10031.54,41278.04,2675.55,9180.00
33,120000.00,10031.54,101278.04,17728.06,18360.00
18 changes: 9 additions & 9 deletions taxcalc/reforms/ptaxes2.out.csv
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RECID,c00100,standard,c04800,iitax,payrolltax
11,30000.00,6723.42,18988.43,554.60,4590.00
12,60000.00,6723.42,48988.43,5935.27,9180.00
13,460000.00,6723.42,453276.58,135058.27,70380.00
21,60000.00,13446.83,29400.57,-2177.25,9180.00
22,120000.00,13446.83,89400.57,8226.47,18360.00
23,240000.00,13446.83,209400.57,44745.39,36720.00
31,30000.00,9899.84,11523.86,-3556.63,4590.00
32,60000.00,9899.84,41523.86,2721.83,9180.00
33,120000.00,9899.84,101523.86,17870.48,18360.00
11,30000.00,6812.86,18841.93,526.05,4590.00
12,60000.00,6812.86,48841.93,5838.62,9180.00
13,460000.00,6812.86,453187.14,134400.50,70380.00
21,60000.00,13625.73,28993.43,-2251.46,9180.00
22,120000.00,13625.73,88993.43,8004.64,18360.00
23,240000.00,13625.73,208993.43,44446.65,36720.00
31,30000.00,10031.54,11278.04,-3670.39,4590.00
32,60000.00,10031.54,41278.04,2675.55,9180.00
33,120000.00,10031.54,101278.04,17728.06,18360.00
18 changes: 9 additions & 9 deletions taxcalc/reforms/ptaxes3.out.csv
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
@@ -1,10 +1,10 @@
RECID,c00100,standard,c04800,iitax,payrolltax
11,30000.00,6723.42,18988.43,554.60,4590.00
12,60000.00,6723.42,48988.43,5935.27,9180.00
13,460000.00,6723.42,453276.58,134778.52,30414.80
21,60000.00,13446.83,29400.57,-2177.25,9180.00
22,120000.00,13446.83,89400.57,8226.47,18360.00
23,240000.00,13446.83,209400.57,44745.39,36720.00
31,30000.00,9899.84,11523.86,-3556.63,4590.00
32,60000.00,9899.84,41523.86,2721.83,9180.00
33,120000.00,9899.84,101523.86,17870.48,18360.00
11,30000.00,6812.86,18841.93,526.05,4590.00
12,60000.00,6812.86,48841.93,5838.62,9180.00
13,460000.00,6812.86,453187.14,134109.50,30414.80
21,60000.00,13625.73,28993.43,-2251.46,9180.00
22,120000.00,13625.73,88993.43,8004.64,18360.00
23,240000.00,13625.73,208993.43,44446.65,36720.00
31,30000.00,10031.54,11278.04,-3670.39,4590.00
32,60000.00,10031.54,41278.04,2675.55,9180.00
33,120000.00,10031.54,101278.04,17728.06,18360.00
18 changes: 9 additions & 9 deletions taxcalc/tests/cpscsv_agg_expect.csv
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -2,23 +2,23 @@
Returns (#m),187.1,199.2,201.9,204.5,207.1,209.7,212.3,214.9,217.5,220.1
AGI ($b),9087.6,10714.8,11167.0,11573.2,13174.9,13543.8,14390.3,15077.5,15785.2,16487.0
Itemizers (#m),62.8,23.9,25.0,27.5,31.2,31.2,30.0,29.6,30.4,81.1
Itemized Deduction ($b),1218.6,612.0,655.1,745.4,862.7,881.9,891.8,917.9,964.3,2181.4
Itemized Deduction ($b),1218.6,612.0,655.1,745.4,862.7,881.9,891.8,917.9,964.3,2181.1
Standard Deduction Filers (#m),124.3,175.3,176.9,176.9,175.8,178.5,182.3,185.3,187.1,139.0
Standard Deduction ($b),1092.1,2951.3,3026.1,3080.8,3091.9,3231.4,3534.5,3791.7,3933.0,1610.8
Standard Deduction ($b),1092.1,2951.3,3026.1,3080.8,3091.9,3231.4,3534.5,3791.7,3933.0,1611.4
Personal Exemption ($b),1383.6,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,2081.5
Taxable Income ($b),6230.6,7959.2,8322.8,8615.4,10049.9,10332.2,10954.0,11432.4,11991.8,11810.0
Regular Tax ($b),1108.0,1380.0,1449.0,1497.4,1762.8,1837.4,1939.0,2018.1,2122.8,2347.6
AMT Income ($b),8319.8,10212.6,10630.3,10965.7,12473.9,12821.8,13655.8,14315.8,14983.7,15102.7
Taxable Income ($b),6230.6,7959.2,8322.8,8615.4,10049.9,10332.2,10954.0,11432.4,11991.8,11809.9
Regular Tax ($b),1108.0,1380.0,1449.0,1497.4,1762.8,1837.4,1939.0,2018.1,2122.8,2347.5
AMT Income ($b),8319.8,10212.6,10630.3,10965.7,12473.9,12821.8,13655.8,14315.8,14983.7,15102.9
AMT Liability ($b),8.1,0.4,0.4,0.5,1.4,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,17.1
AMT Filers (#m),2.6,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,4.1
Tax before Credits ($b),1116.0,1380.4,1449.4,1497.9,1764.3,1838.0,1939.7,2018.7,2123.4,2364.7
Refundable Credits ($b),70.8,102.5,102.7,655.0,827.1,98.5,106.2,111.9,112.8,97.8
Tax before Credits ($b),1116.0,1380.4,1449.4,1497.9,1764.3,1838.0,1939.7,2018.7,2123.4,2364.5
Refundable Credits ($b),70.8,102.5,102.7,655.0,827.1,98.5,106.2,111.9,112.8,98.2
Nonrefundable Credits ($b),32.7,97.2,99.2,99.2,0.0,107.7,108.4,109.4,111.2,30.0
Reform Surtaxes ($b),0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
Other Taxes ($b),61.3,70.4,72.7,75.9,82.3,87.9,91.9,97.0,102.3,107.8
Ind Income Tax ($b),1073.9,1251.1,1320.2,819.6,1019.4,1719.7,1817.1,1894.4,2001.7,2344.7
Ind Income Tax ($b),1073.9,1251.1,1320.2,819.6,1019.4,1719.7,1817.1,1894.4,2001.7,2344.1
Payroll Taxes ($b),985.0,1081.8,1133.6,1154.6,1250.3,1348.0,1433.8,1505.8,1577.3,1647.1
Combined Liability ($b),2059.0,2333.0,2453.8,1974.2,2269.7,3067.8,3250.9,3400.2,3578.9,3991.9
Combined Liability ($b),2059.0,2333.0,2453.8,1974.2,2269.7,3067.8,3250.9,3400.2,3578.9,3991.2
With Income Tax <= 0 (#m),86.2,94.6,95.3,133.1,126.0,94.5,96.1,97.4,97.9,95.7
With Combined Tax <= 0 (#m),62.8,65.4,66.4,98.2,97.7,67.9,69.3,70.4,71.3,70.7
UBI Benefits ($b),0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0
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