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Create documentation page with glossary of terms #45

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5 changes: 3 additions & 2 deletions CHANGELOG.md
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Expand Up @@ -14,8 +14,9 @@ and this project adheres to [Semantic Versioning](https://semver.org/spec/v2.0.0
-
- Implementation of PatchTS model ([#1277](https://github.com/tinkoff-ai/etna/pull/1277))
- Add `quickstart` notebook, add `mechanics_of_forecasting` notebook ([#1343](https://github.com/tinkoff-ai/etna/pull/1343))
- Add gallery of tutorials divided by level ([#1354](https://github.com/tinkoff-ai/etna/pull/1354))
- Create documentation page with links to external resources ([#1350](https://github.com/tinkoff-ai/etna/pull/1350))
- Add gallery of tutorials divided by level ([#46](https://github.com/etna-team/etna/pull/46))
- Create documentation page with links to external resources ([#44](https://github.com/etna-team/etna/pull/44))
- Add documentation page with glossary of terms ([#45](https://github.com/etna-team/etna/pull/45/))

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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion docs/source/api_reference.rst
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Expand Up @@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ API Reference

In this section you can examine the interfaces of the :code:`etna` library.
Here we describe the API of available modules, classes and functions.
For more user-friendly manual please use :ref:`tutorials` section.
For more user-friendly manual please use :doc:`tutorials` section.

.. toctree::
:titlesonly:
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137 changes: 137 additions & 0 deletions docs/source/glossary.rst
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.. _glossary:

Glossary
========

This page lists some common terms used in documentation of the library.

.. glossary::

Time series
A series of variable measurements obtained at successive times according to :term:`frequency <time series frequency>`.

Time series frequency
Quantity that determines how often we take measurements for :term:`time series`.
It doesn't have to be always the same number of seconds.
For example, taking the first day of each month is a valid frequency.

Univariate time series
A single :term:`time series` containing measurements of a scalar variable.

Multivariate time series
A single :term:`time series` containing measurements of a multidimensional variable.

Panel time series
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Multiple :term:`time series`. It is closely related to :term:`multivariate time series`,
but the second term is usually used when the components are closely related,
and it is more useful to treat them as a single multidimensional value.

Hierarchical time series
Multiple :term:`time series` having a level structure in which higher levels can be disaggregated
by different attributes of interest into series of lower levels.
See :doc:`tutorials/14-hierarchical_pipeline`.

Segment
We use this term to refer to one :term:`time series` in a :term:`dataset`.

Endogenous data
Variables which measurements we want to model. It is often referred to as the "target".

Exogenous data
Additional variables in a dataset that help to model :term:`target <endogenous data>`.

Regressor
:term:`Exogenous variable <exogenous data>` whose values are known in the future during :term:`forecasting`.

Stationarity
Property of a time series to retain its statistical properties over time.

Seasonality
Property of time series to have a seasonal pattern of some fixed length.
For example, weekly pattern for daily time series.

Trend
Property of time series to have a long-term change of the mean value.

Change-point
Point in a time series where its behavior changes.
Its existence is the reason why you shouldn't trust your long-term forecasts too much.

Forecasting
The task of predicting future values of a time series.
We are only interested in forecasting :term:`target <endogenous data>` variables.

Forecasting horizon
Set of time points we are going to :term:`forecast <forecasting>`. Often it is set to a fixed value.
For example, horizon is equal to 7 if we want to make a forecast on 7 time points ahead for daily time series.

Forecast confidence intervals
Confidence intervals for the :math:`\mathop{E}(y | X)`.
Set of intervals for every point in the :term:`horizon <forecasting horizon>` can be called a confidence band.
Often confused with :term:`prediction intervals <forecast prediction intervals>`,
see `The difference between prediction intervals and confidence intervals <https://robjhyndman.com/hyndsight/intervals/>`_ to understand the difference.

Forecast prediction intervals
Prediction intervals for predicted random variables.
Set of intervals for every point in the :term:`horizon <forecasting horizon>` can be called a prediction band.
Often confused with :term:`confidence intervals <forecast confidence intervals>`,
see `The difference between prediction intervals and confidence intervals <https://robjhyndman.com/hyndsight/intervals/>`_ to understand the difference.

Forecast prediction components
In forecast decomposition each point is represented as the sum or product of some fixed terms. These terms are called components.
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We are currently working only with additive components.

Backtesting
Type of cross-validation when we check the quality of the forecast model using historical data.

Per-segment / local approach
Mode of operation when there is a separate :term:`model` / :term:`transform` for each :term:`segment` of the dataset.

Multi-segment / Global approach
Mode of operation when there is one :term:`model` / :term:`transform` for every :term:`segment` of the dataset.

Forecasting strategy
Algorithm for using an ML model to produce a multi-step time series :term:`forecast <forecasting>`.
See :doc:`tutorials/09-forecasting_strategies`.

Forecasting context
Suffix of a :term:`dataset` we want to :term:`forecast <forecasting>` that is necessary for the :term:`model` we are using.
Can be also be referred to as the "model context".

Clustering
The task of finding clusters of similar time series.

Classification
The task of predicting a categorical label for the whole time series.

Segmentation
The task of dividing each time series into sequence of intervals with different characteristics.
These intervals are separated by :term:`change-points <change-point>`.
This shouldn't be confused with the term :term:`segment`.

Dataset
Collection of time series to work with.
In the context of the library this is often used to refer to :py:class:`~etna.datasets.tsdataset.TSDataset`.

Model
Entity for learning time series patterns to make a :term:`forecast <forecasting>`. See :doc:`api_reference/models`.

Transform
Entity for performing transformations on a :term:`dataset`. See :doc:`api_reference/transforms`.

Pipeline
High-level entity for solving :term:`forecasting` task. Works with :term:`dataset`, :term:`model`, :term:`transforms <transform>` and other :term:`pipelines <pipeline>`.

Lags
The features generated by :py:class:`~etna.transforms.math.lags.LagTransform`.

Date flags
The features generated by :py:class:`~etna.transforms.timestamp.date_flags.DateFlagsTransform`.

Fourier terms
The features generated by :py:class:`~etna.transforms.timestamp.fourier.FourierTransform`.
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Differencing
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Time series :term:`transformation <transform>` that takes the differences between consecutive time points.
There is also a seasonal differencing with period :math:`p`, where we take the difference between the current point and its :term:`lag <lags>` of order :math:`p`.
See :py:class:`~etna.transforms.math.differencing.DifferencingTransform`.
1 change: 1 addition & 0 deletions docs/source/user_guide.rst
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installation
tutorials
glossary
resources
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