Empirical statistical globale seasonal forecasting system, V2
Operational forecasts available at http://climexp.knmi.nl/specs.cgi
V1: Eden, J. M., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Hawkins, E., and Suckling, E. B.: A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction, Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 3947-3973, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3947-2015, 2015.
V2: Krikket et al., work in progress
Main changes in version 2:
- Added the stort term trend of the predictors in the prediction system
- Forward stepwise predictor selection to prevent overfitting
- Validation changed from causal to cross-validation
File description
- KPREP_forecast_v2.py
- KPREP_forecast_v2_tools.py
- griddes25.txt
- update_indices.py
- ....